1 - Jacksonville Jaguars - Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson - At this point, the only way Lawrence wont go first is if the Jags somehow write the wrong name on the card. 2 - New York Jets - Justin Fields, QB, OSU - Zach Wilson vs Justin Field has become a hotter debate in recent times, with mocks seems to split 50/50 on which of the 2 will go before the other. This one will likely end up coming down to preference, but personally I prefer Field’s upside and athleticism. Still, it’ll probably end up being a close call overall. 3 - Carolina Panthers (via MIA via HOU - sends 1.08, 3.73, 2022 CAR 1st, 2022 CAR 2nd, for 1.03) - Zach Wilson, QB, BYU - This seems like a lot at first glance, but I’d bet on the Panthers being much improved next year with the return of a healthy McCaffery and Joe Brady/Matt Rhule having another year to establish their system. What that means is that if the Panthers can improve at QB, they could be a legitimate playoff contender. Teddy Bridgewater is not the answer, and IMO when you have someone as good as CMC, you need to give him a good QB. The Panthers don't want to end up like the Vikings, sticking a bunch of mediocre at best QBs next to their stud RB. 4 - Atlanta Falcons - Trey Lance, QB, NDSU - I know there’s a large portion of Falcons fans who really want to go anywhere but QB here, but how much longer can Matt Ryan play at a high level? With the 2022 QB class still full of question marks, grabbing your guy of the future right now would be a prudent move. Its instant gratification vs long term strategy. And with the success of raw QBs at the next level under proper development, Trey Lance looks like a solid bet. He’s got a great arm, and plays smart enough to only have a single interception in his college career. There’s a serious ceiling here, and he could absolutely benefit from learning from Matt Ryan for a year. Arthur Smith completely revitalized Tannehill as well, so maybe he could turn Lance into a stud. 5 - Cincinnati Bengals - Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon - Seems like it ends up working out for the Bengals, who really need to protect Joe Burrow. There’s been whispers that teams have Rashawn Slater over Sewell currently, but I partially chalk that up to prospect fatigue. IMO Sewell’s the best OT in the class, and although he’s got areas he can improve, his body of work is utterly dominant currently. If he can polish up his technique and stay healthy, he’ll be a godsend to the Bengals OL. 6 - Eagles - Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU - DeVonta Smith has been crazy this year, but it seems like people have forgotten Ja’Marr Chase was just as dominant last year too. Honestly, the Eagles really can't go wrong here with either WR, but IMO Chase is more of a sure thing to be dominant in the NFL, as minute of a difference as that is. 7 - Detroit Lions - DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama - After that insane performance against Ohio State, I don't think the Lions can pass up on Smith here, even as bad as their defense is. With their entire WR corps being possible FAs, they need to find replacements ASAP, especially if they cannot find a way to agree to a deal with Kenny Golladay. As for Smith well, he’s a beast. Plain and simple. Y’all saw what he did to Ohio State in just one half. 8 - Houston Texans (Via MIA via DET - Sends Deshaun Watson, 2022 HOU 3rd for 1.08, 2.50, 2022 MIA first, 2023 MIA first, Tua Tagovailoa, salary fillers) - Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan - The Dolphins send away Tua + a ton of picks for a shiny new franchise QB, and the Texans begin their rebuild. First up is addressing the defensive line. JJ Watt is very likely gone, Whitney Mercilus is done, and Jonathan Greenard has disappointed. They need someone who can make a serious impact, now. Kwity Paye has been one of the most dominant players in college football, with an insane pressure rate, and is a supposed athletic freak who runs a sub 6.8 3 cone at 6’4’’, 272, with some claiming it being as low as 6.37. No matter what the time ends up being, it's utterly insane for someone of his size, and he could likely play the same role that Watt does for the Texans. 9 - Denver Broncos - Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State - The Broncos do really need CB, but there’s a pretty big hole in the middle of the defense next to Alexander Johnson. Josey Jewell isnt a 3 down LB, and it's really hard to pass up on Parsons here, an elite LB who can be the tonesetter of the Broncos defense from day one. Pairing up Parsons and Johnson should give Denver two monsters in the middle of the defense. 10 - Dallas Cowboys - Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech - Now that Dan Quinn’s the new DC, meaning that they’ll be running a ton of Cover 3. And with how much Quinn loves his physical/athletic CBs who can play both man and zone, Caleb Farley is the natural pick here IMO. He’s sticky as glue, with fluid hips and a size profile that NFL teams dream of, perfect for pattern-match that should be used a lot in Dallas next season. His zone coverage does need a little work, but the Cowboys will likely be doing mostly spot-drop zone, which is pretty simple to pick up, and outside of injury concerns, Farley should be a huge help for the Dallas defense. 11 - New York Giants - Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina - The Giants love their press man coverage, but were forced to run zone a lot last year due to how bad their cornerbacks were outside of James Bradberry. Jaycee Horn fits their preferred scheme, and also shores up that huge hole at CB2 that they have. No CB in the class is as good as disrupting WRs at the LOS as Horn is, and he’ll be a great addition to what was a surprisingly good defense last year. 12 - San Francisco 49ers - Patrick Surtain, CB, Alabama - The 49ers have 0 CBs under contract next year. They need building blocks now, especially with Robert Saleh now gone. Patrick Surtain fits into their zone heavy system perfectly. He’s got elite ball skills, is consistently disruptive, and can stick to WRs like glue. He’d be the perfect guy to replace Richard Sherman if the 49ers cant bring him back, and should be able to slot in at CB1 or CB2 immediately. 13 - LA Chargers - Rashawn Slater, OL, Northwestern - Slater’s a guy who's been getting a ton of hype in recent times, with some even putting him above Sewell. How much of that is real and how much of it is smoke? Hard to say at this point, but I do know that he’ll be an upgrade no matter where he slots in for the Chargers. Protecting Herbert should be there #1 priority right now, especially for the terrible LA OL. Slater should be a fantastic player for the Chargers from day 1. 14 - Miami Dolphins (Via Minnesota Vikings - sends 1.18, 3.82 for 1.14) - Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama - Miami goes ALL in here. With Watson now on the roster, their window is now, and they treat it with urgency, giving up some more draft capital to grab the last of the 3 main stud WRs in the class. Jaylen Waddle fits what Miami needs right now, a speed demon joystick who would be what Will Fuller was for Watson in Houston, a connection that was lethal even with Fuller being injured constantly. Watson to Waddle should be one of the deadliest partnerships in the league, turning the Miami offense into a high powered scoring machine. 15 - New England Patriots - Mac Jones, QB, Alabama - Mac Jones is a guy who’s worked his way from fringe QB prospect all the way up to R1 guy. I'm not sure if the NFL likes him as much as most people in the draft community do, but he’s a smart QB who was instrumental in leading the Crimson Tide to a National Championship. I’d say he grades out pretty well at all the important areas of being a QB, like his arm, going through progressions, that kind of thing. This only big flaw IMO is his ability to extend plays, but the Patriots have the OL to shore up that weakness. The main question here is how will Mac Jones play without any solid WRs? The Patriots receiving corps is barren, so that will be something that must be addressed soon. 16 - Arizona Cardinals - Wyatt Davis, OG, Ohio State - The Cardinals offensive line seems to consistently lose at the LOS, something that was a huge part in them not making the playoffs. With that in mind and all of the top 3 CBs long gone, they grab the mauling OG out of Ohio State, an absolute mauler who can hit hard to create space in the run game. He’s a great fit for the Cardinals run game, and should give them some of the nasty they’ve been lacking. 17 - Las Vegas Raiders - Jeremiah Owusu-Koromoah, LB, Notre Dame - It's hard to say what the Raiders will go with, as Mayock has not been on the job that long, but this is a pick that I agree with Daniel Jeremiah on. The Raiders lack that dynamic linebacker who can move around and cover everything, and JOK should be able to line up all over. He’s perfect for an NFL that seems to value positionless players more, and especially for a Raiders defense that’s going to be stuck against Travis Kelce for the near future. 18 - Minnesota Vikings - Gregory Rousseau, DE/DT, Miami - When your sack leader is a guy you traded away half way through the season, there's a problem. That Vikings defense was inexcusably bad this year, even with the loss of Danielle Hunter, and basically cost their offense a shot at the playoffs. They need to add some juice to the pass rush ASAP. Gregory Rousseau would be perfect, a raw and crazy athletic player who can line up all over the defensive line to wreak havoc. Considering Minnesota turned one athletic freak into a stud, they should have confidence that they can make Rousseau great too, and he’d be a wonderful addition, especially considering the fact that the Vikings have moved around their edge rushers to exploit mismatches, most notably against the Saints. 19 - Washington Football Team - Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech - There doesn't seem to be a solid answer at QB available here for Washington, so they look to bolster up their trenches in order to replace the departed Trent Williams. Darrisaw has the size and length to be a fantastic NFL tackle, along with an extremely strong anchor and some great agility for his size. His technique needs to be cleaned up a little, but he could easily lock down the LT spot for Washington in the future. 20 - Chicago Bears - Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota - Allen Robinson is gone, leaving a huge hole at WR1 for Chicago. Seeing as there’s not really a great way to fix Chicago’s QB situation, they instead look to try and make the most of their closing window. Rashod Bateman should come in and be the WR1 for Chicago, a great route runner with sure hands who can snag a ball and some more yards after the catch. Hopefully Trubisky builds a much better connection with him than he did with Arob. 21 - Detroit Lions (Via IND - sends Matthew Stafford for 1.22, salary filler) - Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa - The Lions defense really needs help at LB. Jarrad Davis is probably starting again, but Tavai really shouldnt be. Zaven Collins can step in and be the best LB in the Lions from day 1, an absolute freak athlete who can cover, can stop the run, and even has a pass rushing upside. He’s the perfect chess piece for the new Lions defense to build around, and should be an immediate impact player from day 1. 22 - Tennessee Titans - Daviyon Nixon, DT, Iowa - The Titans need pass rush in every capacity, and that includes from the defensive line. Jeffery Simmons is a monster, but he doesn't get much help. He’d pair up great with Daviyon Nixon, a freak athlete out of the B1G who excels most when he gets to pin his ears back and just attack the QB. His ability to cause issues down the middle should help alleviate the Titans pass rush issues somewhat. 23 - New York Jets (Via SEA) - Kyle Pitts, TE/WR, Florida - The Jets just need to add weapons to their team at this point. Their WR corps has little promise outside of maybe Mims, and their TE corps is equally barren. Pitts addresses both of those issues at once. Able to play all over the lineup, Pitts can work as both a huge WR and a TE, able to consistently beat coverages and get catches against defenses. He’ll be a great weapon for Fields to utilize, a truly dynamic threat who could be one of the best receivers on the Jets from day 1. 24 - Pittsburgh Steelers - Liam Eichenburg, OT, Notre Dame - A lot of the Steeler’s tackle depth, most notably starting LT Alejandro Villenueva, will be lost to FA, and Pittsburgh needs to address that ASAP. Liam Eichenburg isnt the most athletic OT with a crazy high ceiling, but he’s a solid technician who should be able to start from day 1, perfect for a contending team like the steelers. 25 - Jacksonville Jaguars (via LAR) - Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas - The Jaguars need to protect their investment, especially with Cam Robinson a question mark to be back due to his poor play. Protecting a young QB should be the #1 priority after landing one, and Cosmi is a tantalizing prospect to add. He’s got plenty of athleticism and a frame that’s waiting to be filled out, a solid pass blocker who can deal with speed rushers really well. He’s a high ceiling prospect who could become a great LT and lock down Tlaw’s blind side for the future. 26 - Cleveland Browns - Jaelen Phillips, EDGE, Miami - Sometimes it just feels like the Browns defensive line is just Myles Garrett. That can't stand. The Browns need to give Garrett some help in the pass rush, and that's why they pick Jaelen Phillips. There’s a lot of injury concerns here, but if Phillips can stay healthy, he’s an absolute MONSTER in the pass rush, having notched 8 sacks in just 5 games this year. If he can stay on the field, he and Garrett should give opposing offensive lines some serious headaches. 27 - Baltimore Ravens - Alijah Vera-Tucker, iOL, USC - The Ravens need to bolster their offensive line more. After the loss of Marshall Yanda, the Ravens offensive line has taken a notable step back, and Ronnie Stanley’s injury certainly didn't help there. AVT’s easily BPA at this point, an interior beast who is a stone wall with excellent hand usage. He should be able to make the Ravens offensive line even better, and boost their already lethal run game to higher levels. 28 - New Orleans Saints - Kyle Trask, QB, Florida - Im sorry, I don't think Taysom Hill is an NFL level QB. Especially not for a title contender. Drew Brees is retired, and I doubt Winston will be back. That means QB is the most glaring hole in NO. Kyle Trask might never be Patrick Mahomes, but he’s a good solid player who can make accurate passes, adjusts to pressure well, and is willing to extend plays. With the Saints filled with weapons and talent, Trask should be a good enough game manager to help the Saints be contenders for the rest of their window. 29 - Green Bay Packers - Levi Onwuzurike, DT, Washington - Kenny Clark and Keke Kingsley are building blocks along the defensive line, but the Packers could afford to add some depth. Onwuzurike has been mocked in the first by DJ, and he tends to have his ear to most NFL team’s pulse. Onwuzuriki’s calling card is his length and athleticism, which combined with his explosiveness and motor results in him just running over people at times. He does need to improve his power and add more consistently, but the addition of Onwuzurike could make the Packers defensive line a force as good as the Steelers DL. 30 - Buffalo Bills - Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson - The Bills just need playmakers especially in the run game, and Etienne is one of the best pure playmakers in the class. He’s an explosive threat who must be addressed at all times, or else he could break free and gash the defensive for serious yardage. His acceleration and contact balance make him a problem to tackle, and with supposed 4.3 speed, defenders won't be able to catch him once he gets into open space. He’s no slouch in the pass game either, putting up solid production at Clemson and flashing the ability to run a few option routes. The Bills already have their Jim Kelly and Andre Reed in Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs. Time to add the Thurman Thomas of the trio, and turn Buffalo into an offense that can toe to toe with the Chiefs. 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Jalen Mayfield, OT, Michigan - Donovan Smith is very likely gone this year, meaning that Tampa would have a hole at one of the tackle spots opposite of Wirfs. No matter if they move Wirfs to LT or keep him at RT, Mayfield would be a great get opposite of him. Mayfield’s a dependable run blocker who has good feet, and although he's not finished just yet, if Tampa can utilize his athletic gifts to the fullest, he’d be a great compliment to their current franchise OT. 32 - Kansas City Chiefs - Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington - Joe Tryon’s another player who is apparently well regarded according to DJ. He’s shown flashes of being a great pass rusher, but he’s really still a WIP in most areas, especially as a run defender. However, he does fit the mold of what the Chiefs want in their pass rushers, standing at 6’5 262. Kansas City does need the help on the EDGE, and they can afford to take a gamble here, considering the Mahomes led offense should be able to easily cover up any defensive deficiencies for the next few years.
Streaming options for Week 5 - Who are you guys streaming next week? Here are my thoughts.
Row, row, row your teamGently down the STREAMFantasy, fantasy, fantasy, fantasyTitle's not a dream In these crazy times, fantasy GMs need to be flexible and quick to react. Plenty of games are being postponed, and plenty of fantasy lineups are remaining unfilled. This is where streaming can come in handy and fill those holes left by poor schedules or game postponements. Here are my thoughts on the fantasy basketball streamers for Week 5. Just one word before we go deep into next week. I've been getting some amazing replies to my posts in the past few weeks, and thank you guys so much for this! I just wanted to let you know that the whole RotoBaller crew is working hard to help fantasy GMs out, and there is a ton of quality stuff on plenty of topics on our website, so if you're looking for information about something else as well, you can probably find it here: https://www.rotoballer.com/category/nba-fantasy-basketball-advice
NBA Schedule Guide - Week 5
Very obvious week for streaming. Tuesday with two and Thursday with three will be the days we focus on. All other days have between seven and 13 games played so fantasy GMs should have less difficulty filling up the lineups there. Here's the low-down: Teams with 4 games: Atlanta Hawks Brooklyn Nets Dallas Mavericks Detroit Pistons Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets Memphis Grizzlies Miami Heat Milwaukee Bucks Minnesota Timberwolves New York Knicks Orlando Magic Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers San Antonio Spurs Toronto Raptors Teams with 3 games: Boston Celtics Charlotte Hornets Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Denver Nuggets Indiana Pacers Los Angeles Clippers Los Angeles Lakers New Orleans Pelicans Oklahoma City Thunder Philadelphia 76ers Sacramento Kings Utah Jazz Washington Wizards Teams with 2 games: None Number of teams playing each day: Monday: 20 Tuesday: 4 Wednesday: 22 Thursday: 6 Friday: 26 Saturday: 14 Sunday: 16 Back-to-Backs (beware of older or banged-up players who might rest): Monday/Tuesday: - Tuesday/Wednesday: - Wednesday/Thursday: GSW Thursday/Friday: MIL, NYK Friday/Saturday: BKN, CHI, DAL, DEN, DET, HOU, MIA, MIN, PHI, PHO Saturday/Sunday: - Sunday/Monday the following: BOS, CHA, CLE, IND, MEM, OKC, ORL, POR, SAC, SAS, TOR Days with SIX or fewer games: Tuesday: 2 games Thursday: 3 games Teams playing on both Tuesday and Thursday: New Orleans Pelicans (3 games - Tue, Thurs, Sat) Utah Jazz (3 games - Tue, Thurs, Sat) Teams playing on Tuesday: Denver Nuggets (3 games - Tue, Fri, Sat) New Orleans Pelicans (3 games - Tue, Thurs, Sat) Oklahoma City Thunder (3 games - Tue, Fri, Sun) Utah Jazz (3 games - Tue, Thurs, Sat) Teams playing on Thursday: Golden State Warriors (4 games - Mon, Wed, Thurs, Sat) Milwaukee Bucks (4 games - Mon, Thurs, Fri, Sun) New York Knicks (4 games - Mon, Thurs, Fri, Sun) Los Angeles Lakers (3 games - Mon, Thurs, Sat) New Orleans Pelicans (3 games - Tue, Thurs, Sat) Utah Jazz (3 games - Tue, Thurs, Sat) Teams with a GOOD START to the week (three games from Monday to Thursday) Golden State Warriors (4 games - Mon, Wed, Thurs, Sat) Teams with a GOOD END to the week (three games from Thursday to Sunday) Milwaukee Bucks (4 games - Mon, Thurs, Fri, Sun) New York Knicks (4 games - Mon, Thurs, Fri, Sun) Teams with a POOR START to the week (one or no games from Monday to Thursday) Boston Celtics (3 games - Wed, Fri, Sun) Charlotte Hornets (3 games - Wed, Fri, Sun) Chicago Bulls (3 games - Mon, Fri, Sun) Cleveland Cavaliers (3 games - Wed, Fri, Sun) Denver Nuggets (3 games - Tue, Fri, Sat) Indiana Pacers (3 games - Wed, Fri, Sat) Los Angeles Clippers (3 games - Wed, Fri, Sat) Oklahoma City Thunder (3 games - Tue, Fri, Sun) Philadelphia 76ers (3 games - Wed, Fri, Sat) Sacramento Kings (3 games - Wed, Fri, Sat) Washington Wizards (3 games - Wed, Fri, Sat) Teams with a POOR END to the week (one or no games from Thursday to Sunday) None
Baller Streaming Strategy for Week 5
Absolute stars of this week will be players from the New Orleans Pelicans and the Utah Jazz. Although both teams have just three games this week, they play on both two-game Tuesday and three-game Thursday, along with Saturday which has the next fewest games with seven. Furthermore, streaming players from these teams potentially allows you to have a five-game week from the streaming spot. Now, this is in an ideal situation, but you could have a guy play on Monday, then cut him in favor of a player from NOP or UTA, keep him until Saturday and then drop for another player who has a game on Sunday. Keep in mind though that you're probably not the only one streaming in your league so these players won't just wait around for you to pick them up. So it might be worth more to pick one of these guys up before Tuesday if you think they could be gone by then. There are two more teams that play on Tuesday (Denver and Oklahoma City with three games apiece this week), and four more that play on Thursday (Golden State, Milwaukee and New York with four games and LA Lakers with three). We will be taking a look at their players as well. One important thing to remember here though is to always check whether any new games have been postponed before adding a player based on his schedule.
Streaming Options for Week 5
Shallower League Streaming Adds for the Week (Rostered in 25-75 % of Yahoo leagues): Josh Hart, SG/SF, NOP, (27% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, REB, STL Bojan Bogdanovic, SF/PF, UTA, (71% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, PTS, FT% Jordan Clarkson, PG/SG, UTA, (67% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, PTS, FT% Will Barton, SG/SF, DEN, (56% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, PTS, a bit of everything Paul Millsap, PF/C, DEN, (40% Rostered) - Strong Cats: REB, FG%, BLK/STL Darius Bazley, SF/PF, OKC, (54% Rostered) - Strong Cats: REB, BLK, a bit of everything Hamidou Diallo, SG/SF, OKC, (37% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, PTS Luguentz Dort, OKC, (25% Rostered) - Strong Cats: PTS, REB George Hill, PG/SG, OKC, (25% Rostered) - Strong Cats: STL, AST, FT%, 3PM Donte Divincenzo, PG/SG, MIL, (70% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, STL, REB Bobby Portis,PF/C, MIL, (60% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, REB, STL Elfrid Payton, PG, NYK, (60% Rostered) - Strong Cats: AST, STL Alec Burks, PG/SG, NYK, (44% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, PTS, FT% - buyer beware: still hasn't returned from injury at the moment of writing this Nerlens Noel, PF/C, NYK, (30% Rostered) - Strong Cats: REB, STL/BLK - buyer beware: plays very limited minutes Marc Gasol, C, LAL, (27% Rostered) - Strong Cats: REB, BLK Kyle Kuzma, SF/PF, LAL, (41% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, PTS
Shallower League Add
Jordan Clarkson, PG/SG, UTA, (67% Rostered) Strong Cats: 3PM, PTS, FT% If by any chance you're in a league shallow enough that Clarkson is still sitting on your waiver wire, in case you need some help in threes, points and FT% and don't care too much about turnovers don't waste too much time pondering whether to pick him up or not. Clarkson is the offensive leader of Utah's second unit and is averaging 13.4 field goal attempts per game (6.9 from beyond the arc). He is using his 25 minutes a game quite effectively with averages of 17.1 points, 2.9 3-pointers, 48.4% from the field, 93.3% from the line, 4.8 boards, 1.8 dimes, 0.9 steals, 0.3 blocks and 2.1 turnovers. This has him ranked inside the top 80 on Yahoo. These stats are not too much out of the ordinary for Jordan, although he is rebounding a bit more, but is also turning the ball over more than usual. Therefore, he should be on a similar level next week as well, and with games on such scarce days, he could prove vital to you winning your matchup. Furthermore, Utah plays two games against the Pelicans and one against the Warriors. Neither of these teams have had trouble with Covid so there is less risk of the games being postponed.
Deeper League Add
Royce O'Neale, SF/PF, UTA, (23% Rostered) Strong Cats: 3PM, REB, a bit of everything First of all, if someone told me that I would be recommending O'Neale as a pickup at the start of the season, I would have thought that Utah would have to have seven games that week, and he would still be in the "Insanely Deep" category. But lately, we are witnessing crazier things happen than O'Neale playing some of his best ball so far, so why the hell not? His role on the Jazz team is that of a three-and-D role player who usually just sits in the corner on offense and waits to launch a three, occasionally running down the court for a transition basket. Rarely is the ball in his hands to try to create a scoring opportunity for himself or others. The fact that he is playing close to 32 minutes a game and is averaging 5.0 shot attempts says it all. And that is completely fine, just not that attractive for fantasy purposes. Now, things didn't change drastically with Royce's role, but he is doing everything he does just a little bit better. Averages of 7.3 PTS with 1.8 3PM on 50.0 FG% and 62.5 FT%, 7.4 REB, 2.3 AST, 0.8 STL, 0.4 BLK and 1.1 TO are enough for him to be ranked at #103 in Yahoo leagues. If you like what O'Neale brings to the table, which is a little bit of everything, you could do worse in deep leagues. And with such a low usage rate, he is a pretty safe bet that he won't hurt your fantasy team too much even on an off night.
Insanely Deep League Add
Immanuel Quickley,PG, NYK, (9% Rostered) Strong Cats: 3PM, AST, FT% Immanuel could prove to be both a streaming, but also a season-long pickup. Elfrid Payton is the designated starter at the PG position in New York at the moment, and we all know how much their coach Tom Thibodeau likes to play his starters plenty of minutes, but Quickley has been outplaying Payton in their last two games. Even Thibs said that everything is under consideration, so if Quickley was to take over the starting role and get 30 minutes a night, that would be huge for him and his fantasy value. His upside was flashed quite brightly in the previous two contests with him scoring a combined 42 points (16-of-32 from the field, 4-of-5 from the line) with six 3-pointers, along with seven boards, seven dimes, two steals, a block and just one turnover in 25 minutes a game. With four games (one of which is on the scarce Thursday) next week, Quickley is worth a gamble in deep formats and could pay dividends on this investment for months to come.
Other Deep League Options for the Week (Rostered in less than 25% of Yahoo leagues)
Jaxson Hayes, C, NOP, (4% Rostered) - Strong Cats: FG%, REB, BLK Nickeil Alexander-Walker, SG/SF, NOP, (21% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, PTS - buyer beware: could see a drop in minutes upon Lonzo Ball's return J.J. Redick, SG, NOP, (12% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, FT%, PTS Royce O'Neale, SF/PF, UTA, (23% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, REB, a bit of everything Joe Ingles, SG/SF, IND, (2% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, AST, a little bit of everything - buyer beware: missed his previous couple of games due to Achilles soreness Georges Niang, SF/PF, UTA, (0% Rostered) - Strong Cats: REB, 3PM - buyer beware: should see a drop in minutes upon Joe Ingles' return Derrick Favors, PF/C, UTA, (11% Rostered) - Strong Cats: REB, BLK, FG% - buyer beware: plays just 16 minutes a game so far this season Gary Harris, SG/SF, DEN, (18% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, STL, a bit little of everything - buyer beware: missed his previous couple of games due to personal reasons Monte Morris, PG/SG, DEN, (20% Rostered) - Strong Cats: AST, FT%, 3PM P.J. Dozier, PG/SG, DEN, (1% Rostered) - Strong Cats: REB, 3PM JaMychal Green,PF/C, DEN, (16% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, REB, STL/BLK Facundo Campazzo, PG, DEN, (1% Rostered) - Strong Cats: AST, 3PM Mike Muscala,PF/C, OKC, (2% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, FT% - positive circumstance: more minutes while Al Horford is out Theo Maledon,PG, OKC, (1% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, AST - positive circumstance: rookie factor Isaiah Roby, PF/C, OKC, (2% Rostered) - Strong Cats: REB, 3PM, FG% - positive circumstance: more minutes while Al Horford is out Aleksej Pokusevski, SF, OKC, (1% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, REB, BLK - positive circumstance: rookie factor Kenrich Williams, SF/PF, OKC, (0% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, REB - positive circumstance: more minutes while Al Horford is out Kevon Looney, PF/C, GSW, (2% Rostered) - Strong Cats: FG%, REB, BLK/STL Eric Paschall, SF/PF, GSW, (12% Rostered) - Strong Cats: PTS, REB Kent Bazemore, SG/SF, GSW, (1% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, STL/BLK, REB Brad Wanamaker, PG/SG, GSW, (1% Rostered) - Strong Cats: FT%, 3PM AST Damion Lee, SG/SF, GSW, (2% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, STL Bryn Forbes,PG/SG, MIL, (1% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, FT% D.J. Augustin,PG, MIL, (1% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, AST Pat Connaughton,SG/SF, MIL, (1% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, REB, FT%, STL Austin Rivers, SG/SF, NYK, (19% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, PTS Kevin Knox II, SF/PF, NYK, (2% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM Immanuel Quickley,PG, NYK, (9% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, AST, FT% Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, PG/SG, LAL, (13% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, FT%, STL - buyer beware: sprained his ankle on Friday (Jan 1st), no news on his availability yet) Talen Horton-Tucker, SG/SF, LAL, (10% Rostered) - Strong Cats: FT%, REB, STL/BLK Wesley Matthews, SG/SF, LAL, (1% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, STL Alex Caruso, PG/SG, LAL, (4% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, AST, STL - buyer beware: is currently in COVID-19 protocols - check his availability before adding Markieff Morris, PF/C, LAL, (2% Rostered) - Strong Cats: 3PM, REB Hopefully, some of these guys will help you win your next week's matchup and get you that one step closer to winning the whole thing!
A Little Help for our Friends with Zac Clark: RECAP
The hosts say that his proposal made them teary.
Zac says he appreciates that. And that the proposal was very heartfelt.
Asked to expand on his story of addiction and recovery.
People got to see him through their TVs. But one of the things he was proud of was that he could be authentic and be himself. And he credits that as a direct result of recovery.
Those who know him know that he is not ashamed to talk about and share his story.
“I am aware of the fact that everything in my life stems off of my journey and what I had to do to get to where I am today.”
He has dedicated his life to helping others and is extremely passionate about it. He didn’t know this was his calling until he got sober.
He has always loved human connection and even when he was partying, he was the guy who made sure everyone had their drinks and was okay.
First notice of the addiction being a problem.
He starts by saying that people in recovery are not handicapped. They can do everything other people are able to do. There is a stigma which says otherwise. But he mentions that recovery is almost like a superpower.
Addiction does not discriminate.
He grew up with two badass parents who taught him the value of money and how to respect people amidst other things, an older brother who loved him and two sisters who were angels. He had a normal upbringing in a house with a white picket fence.
While in high school at a Christmas party, some older guys handed him a beer and he ran back to the party crying and complained to his parents about them.
He had a year to think about taking that first drink. And by the next year, he was ready to take that step. And he started lying almost immediately.
Lied to his parents about where he was. “The next day I still opened presents and what I got from it was that I could lie and get away with it. And that continued for the next 15 years, till I got 27.”
Lying is a big part of substance abuse and alcoholism because the people around want to believe in you. No one wants to get caught and hence they turn to lying.
The drinking behind the garage became like his secret and once school started, he thought it was his social responsibility to be the head of the party & get everyone what they wanted.
He knew from a young age that his fantasies with drinks was going to land him in trouble.
He played three sports – football, basketball, baseball – in high school, had a lot of cool opportunities his way, starting kissing girls for the first time…and yet all he cared about was drinking on Fridays and weekends.
Nothing else mattered after that drink was with him. He felt panicked in the absence of drinks.
Loved high school because it got him guys who were doing the same thing. Says that in his senior year if anyone had picked any of his 15 friends and said they needed help, it wouldn’t be a lie.
The way they were drinking wasn’t normal. But today everyone is at a better place.
Says he struggles dealing with casefiles of teenagers now. Understands how difficult it is for parents. Doesn’t know the solution and what to tell them – do they push the guys into recovery or let them grow out of the phase?
Challenging part about working in recovery.
Every case is different. He had to hit rock bottom to survive today but some of his friends went into college and grew out of the alcohol phase.
When someone has a disease like cancer or diabetes, there is a set procedure to follow in order to get better. For recovery from addiction, that is not the case.
When the host talks about her family member returning from rehab, Zac cheers her on and says every person who has been through that process needs to be applauded.
When people ask him if staying in the Bachelorette environment was difficult, he laughs and says he could have done it in his sleep because he had been in rehab for 4.5 months.
Family’s importance and that dynamics.
The families are the unsung heroes in most cases. It’s always tough on the families the most.
Though it sounds gimmicky, love can help people get out of addiction and through recovery. Continued support to help loved ones through this can save a life.
Doesn’t appreciate putting 14-15 yr olds in handcuff during interventions because the trauma associated with that goes a long way. And is often times more than the trauma endured afteduring recovery.
Has had to do quite a lot of adolescent interventions. Has to deal with adoptive parents, divorced parents, 2 or 3 sets of parents, etc.
His experience and his family.
Studied Sports management at York College. Met his ex-wife in his sophomore year and in his head he thought he would graduate and do life the normal way. Wanted to have a family like he had while growing up.
“She ended up saving my life. I can safely say that today. She is a wonderful human and I don't have one bad thing to say about her.”
But she was a part of the puzzle that he was using as a front so that no one would question his addiction. And for the longest time he did a good job at hiding, lying and being the life of the party. Everyone wanted to celebrate his success.
But when he was working his first job, he rented a house with his college buddies on the shore and suddenly felt dizzy in the car. Saw kaleidoscope every time he closed his eyes. Got it checked at the X-ray place right next to where they were, turned out to be a brain tumour, got it operated the next day.
Completely fine today. But during the 20+ days he was in the hospital for the surgery, he was never alone. His family was always there – at least one member, at all times.
“If love could get me sober, I would have gotten sober in that moment. But it didn’t.”
He couldn’t wait to go out and party again. But also started loving the pain meds that the nurses were pushing into him. Thought no one would say anything to him because he was a hero who had survived a tumour.
Had the biggest wedding. Held everyone in his life as hostages as he continued to push things into himself. “I am a lovable guy and so people continued to turn their heads away from my bullshit.”
Definition of hitting a rock bottom.
There is no straightforward answer to that.
Has seen 16-year-olds smoking pot. Marijuana is probably one of the biggest issues and that is continuing to build.
Dealt with guys who have been 20 years sober and also with people who have been to rehab 30/35 times & it still wasn’t enough.
No one has the answer.
Personal experience: Was sleeping on the streets. Not because he had nowhere to go, but because he was running away from people.
Went to rehab the first time and relapsed within five days. His wife left and that still wasn’t enough for him to sober up.
In addition to everything, he was gambling. He owed money to a bookie and he convinced his dad to pay that debt (not telling him the real reason).
Through everything, he still managed to keep up a front with the perfect house with the wife and cars, car drives and dogs…
One day when his mom and ex-wife were out for drinks, one of his friends outed him to them and told them how bad his problem was.
His mom came back immediately and questioned him. He had seen a billboard of a treatment facility and drove himself to it. Was their first drive-in client. Stayed there for 28 days (first rehab). Did everything he was asked to do. But he was full of shit.
At the back of their minds, everyone knew his issues but no one said anything until that one friend stood up.
His wife was given a set of tools to detect if he ever relapsed, and as soon as he brought drugs into the house, she caught him.
“And thank God for her that she kept that boundary. She peaced out and she called her dad. He came and got her. That was the last time I was in that house. Props to her because she listened, and she saved my life. She decided she was done but I had to go on for another eight months to hit that rock bottom.”
It got dark in those moments.
His ex-wife was the first person who stopped him from partying. It wasn’t malicious but was filled with a lot of love. With tears in her eyes, she had informed him that she couldn’t do that life anymore.
A first couple of weeks into rehab, Zac blamed his ex-wife for everything. He wanted to place the blame on her even after a year.
Eventually, recovery taught him to be accountable. He has learnt to evaluate everything along with his behaviour and look at where he is being selfish or dishonest. And he has learnt that he cannot control others, and can only manage with he is doing.
His story can make it into a book because he lived a very gnarly life. He accustomed himself to being on the streets, knew the exact neighbourhoods which could get what he needed, dealt with people who would give him the drugs, and got his gall bladder cut out to get the pain meds.
Sobriety
NYC was his do-over. Which is why he loves it so much and preferred to show his NYC life to Tayshia on the show.
On his first days of being in NY, his mentor (who helped him become sober) told him to find three guys that he could trust and have a relationship with. It was the best advice because it allowed him to get into the sober community and meet people who were doing better while being like him.
His theory about recovery changed from people thinking how shit life was to doing great things in life, once he got sober.
He realized that sobriety allowed him to look people in the eye, admit when he is wrong, and show up whenever needed. That is what he wanted Tayshia to know.
He thinks he is a reflection of the recovery community and doesn’t want to deliberately make mistakes and get people to think recovering addicts cannot do certain things. Or be named irresponsible.
Asked if Recovery or sobriety is stressful, he answers before the question ends, “No”. Having his mom crying and not knowing where he was when he was shooting drugs, or thinking about how to get the drugs in the past was stressful.
“Having to tell the truth and show up, I feel more. But it’s not stressful.”
He thinks humility and compassion can take people a long way.
Release Recovery and his work.
It is a family and they try to make recovery fun.
His best friend, who majored in social works and had a similar journey with addiction, Justin co-founded this organization in 2017. Three facilities – 2 for men and 1 for women above 18 years. 40 beds in total.
He hates calling it a business but understands that it is one, at the end of the day.
Works into sober living and getting the recovered people back into the real life & transition into regular life. The program is for three months.
Has had clients from 82-year men to teenagers with them.
At Release, they create the home environment and meals are a big deal to everyone there. Family dinner times and positive conversations are a part of this unit.
Justin and Zac do a lot of consultation, helping and guiding people recognize and deal with loved ones or themselves suffering from addiction.
Recovery takes a lot of money and it’s difficult for the underprivileged to seek help.
So, he has started the foundation where they are running marathons and selling t-shirts and raising money to fund those who do not have the ability to spend thousands of recoveries.
Women and POC are not treated right in the treatment community. Not many cater to these demographics and all the proceeds from his foundation are heading to help them.
Healthcare system right now sucks. There are very few government aides which can help underprivileged. But it’s not enough.
They try to call places and help leasing out beds to people whenever they can but not all states have equal facilities and “it sucks”.
“We need to do something more.”
Plugs shatterproof.
“Everyone who needs treatment… deserves that.”
Recovery and life in general
Story telling and sharing everyone’s stories is important. Since COVID, recovering addicts have not been able to go to in-person recovery meetings, and that has harmed a lot. Connecting with others with the same experience is necessary and a lot of addicts have found it hard to get clean since last March. Because they do not have that community.
Had to break a lot of habits, get connected with the recovery community, stopped thinking what might not look cool, and started to hang out with new people who had a similar experience to get through the initial recovery phase. See a therapist is his answer to some people.
The first 6-12 months are tough but if you are mentally tough with a strong & loving family next to you…one can pull through. “I am living proof of that. But you have to have people who know what is going on with you.”
People usually do not ask him what is in his glass when he attends events. On rare occasions that happens. But usually, it’s people projecting their insecurities or someone looking to have a drink with him that asks him that question.
Has always been open with people he has dated. Like with Tayshia on the show. He wouldn’t pursue that relationship if she was not okay with his past.
That confidence and self-belief is a long journey he has had to get through to.
People have written to him since being back from the show, and he has tried to write & answer everyone back.
A lot of people and family members have reached out to him with their stories of themselves or loved ones. Some who were lucky, some who weren’t. Tries to get in touch with everyone and send a message. Those stories keep him going and get him to try and help more people.
Reiterated how his family stood by him for 4.5 months for him to get his act together when they put on a brave face & faced life head on, while obsessing how he was doing. It is not fair on families.
The support groups in the form of the families are heroes in his eyes. They are lifesavers and the ones who truly deserve all the praise.
“When you say, ‘I love you’ to someone who is black out drunk, putting that energy out into the world…that person hears you whether you want to know it or not.”
He mentions that even if one person listened to the podcast and got help from it, it was a job well done for him. Appreciates the hosts (and mentions certain episodes in passing which give the impression that he researched the podcast before coming on) for spreading awareness.
WHAT A GUY!!! Very rarely do you hear someone who is so self-aware, kind, humble and eloquent. Please listen to this because the hosts were amazing too. They let him speak and he didn't hold back.
Mock Draft 1.0, 4 QBs go in the top 5 (Write-Ups under Picks, has trades.)
Hey everyone! This is my Mock Draft I did because I am a ridiculously bored bastard in the middle of a lull in my classes schedule. Let me know your thoughts! Trades are included in this, and the list of them can be found at the bottom.
Jaguars- Trevor Lawrence, QB
I really don’t have to explain this pick. He is far and away the most valuable pick in this draft and the Jaguars would be insane not to lock this pick in months in advance.
Jets- Justin Fields, QB
The first real decision of the draft comes from the Jets, where they decide to move on from Sam Darnold and draft an accomplished player in Justin Fields. On top of his clear physical talents and admiral skills at the QB position, the Jets choose him over Zach Wilson for culture reasons. Fields has faced high pressure situations his entire career and rebounded admirably from losing out in a QB competition, and for a team with a long history of losing he is a great piece to help turn the culture around. 3.Dolphins (Via HOU)- Penei Sewell, OT The Dolphins can choose between getting a franchise left tackle and one of Tua’s old wide receivers, and ultimately they choose to protect their investment in a young QB. Sewell is a monster of an O-lineman and I would be shocked to see a team go with anything else, especially when the QB is one with the injury history of Tua. 4.49ers (Via ATL)- Zach Wilson, QB The 49ers get aggressive and move up 8 slots in the draft, allowing them to select a QB who has been much more impressive than Jimmy G. He has outright said he thinks he would be a good fit in the 49ers scheme, and I expect Shannahan is thinking the same thing. The Falcons also gained extra picks to further rebuild their defense with, which is a priority for them in this mock.
Panthers (Via CIN)- Trey Lance, QB
Matt Rhule continues his rebuild of the Panthers by adding a dynamic dual threat quarterback who can eventually take the job over from Teddy Bridgewater. Trey Lance still needs to be developed as a passer, but I am confident with the weapons he would have in Carolina if he can do it anywhere it is there and Matt Rhule knows that as well.
Eagles- Devonta Smith, WR
The Eagles (and more specifically Howie Roseman) are under heavy fire from the media and fans, and are also in desperate need of help at the WR position. This leads them to picking a talented player that everyone already loves, and I suspect they will be rewarded for this decision. They get a technician to support Jalen Hurts / Carson Wentz, and if either of those guys are the answer they have to be able to get it done with a weapon as electric as Smith.
Lions- Micah Parsons, LB
Sorry Lions fans, the appropriate way to describe your needs is that you need help at every position. The Lions use this pick to go defensive BPA, which leads to them selecting Micah Parsons to be the centerpiece of their defense. Combined with Jeff Okudah, the Lions continue building a good young defensive core to support aging (and potentially traded) QB Matthew Stafford.
Bengals (Via CAR)- Christian Darrisaw, OT
Joe Burrow is going to reward the Bengals for their tank if they build around him, and starting Bobby Hart at RT is not building around him. The team selects the best OT left on the board at this point in order to try and keep their young QB upright and protect their investment in him. I also personally don’t buy the argument that the Bengals need another #1 receiver, as I believe in both Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, thus passing on a better player in Ja’Marr Chase to fill a position of need.
Broncos- Patrick Surtain II, CB
The Broncos need a CB, and they go and get a proven SEC defender with a pedigree of performing against the best wideouts he faced. Surtain can be an anchor in the secondary to allow the edge rushing talents of this team to have the time needed to get home. This defense with some help could be a nightmare for opposing teams, and this furthers that goal.
Cowboys- Caleb Farley, CB
The Boys need help in the secondary, and especially considering the player they are about to pass to a division rival it makes the selection of the second best CB in the class in Caleb Farley a no brainer. This bit of aid may not fix a struggling Cowboys defense, but it will certainly help stem the bleeding.
Giants- Ja’Marr Chase, WR
The steal of the mock goes to Dave Gettleman at the 11th pick. After promising to get Daniel Jones weapons, he gets him an absolute monster of a receiver to supplement a receiving core that struggled mightily in 2020. With a monstrous deep threat in tow, Daniel Jones will have no excuse but to prove it in 2021.
Falcons- Kwity Paye, EDGE
The Falcons need help at all three levels of their defense, and they begin this retool with the draft of physical freak Kwity Paye. Paye is a bit of a developmental prospect, but the Falcons need help alongside Grady Jarrett and they find a promising young Edge Rusher in Kwity Paye to solve that.
Chargers- Rashawn Slater, OT
After Justin Herbert’s monster rookie season, one thing became quickly apparent: the Chargers needed to fix their offensive line to prevent Herbert from joining a dishonorable list of names including Joe Burrow and RGIII. They get this by getting a great OT prospect in Slater who can help solidify the line and keep a great QB upright.
Vikings- Wyatt Davis, IOL
Kirk Cousins is not a bad quarterback, but he also isn’t going to win on his own. He has a great set of weapons to showcase in Thielen, Jefferson, and Cook. Now the failure comes in that he can’t stay upright long enough to use these weapons properly. Adding a piece for Cousins to pass behind and Cook to run behind makes this offense more dynamic as a whole, and the top interior lineman comes off the board to help this issue.
Patriots- Jaylen Waddle, WR
The Patriots WR core was… bad. An already struggling WR core lost their best player in Edelman, Tom Brady, and their WR Coach in Joe Judge and the floor fell out from under an already mediocre group. They get a dynamic separator to serve as their #1, and will aim to address this issue again later on in the draft.
Cardinals- Kyle Pitts, TE
Kyler Murray is a great QB and the Cardinals have continuously invested in his success. That being said, he only has one elite target and when Hopkins can’t beat his double teams, the offense struggles. This situation is solved by obtaining a massive upgrade at TE in Kyle Pitts. This weapon can help continue to push Murray above and beyond in a powerhouse of a division.
Raiders- Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB
Justin Herbert, Patrick Mahomes, and the WR corp of the Broncos all pose a brutal challenge for a defense that already is struggling mightily. They begin to rectify this by getting a versatile athlete at LB to try and right the ship. Owusu-Koramoah is not the entire answer, but he is a good bet to be an effective NFL LB, and god only knows how badly the Raiders need one of those.
Dolphins- Rashod Bateman, WR
The Dolphins have Tua Tagovailoa as their QB of the future, and now they need to tailor his weapons to what he is good at. He clearly does not trust his WRs, and for that reason the Dolphins bring in a fresh new face to try and work with the young QB. Tua has it in him, and Bateman can help him unlock the parts of his game he hasn’t yet showcased in the NFL.
Football Team- Mac Jones, QB
I’m going to level with all of you: I don’t really like Mac Jones all that much. In my opinion he has too low of a ceiling for me to like selecting him this early. That being said, the WFT has shown an ability to make game managers succeed: and I think they’ll be desperate enough for a QB that they’ll take their chances that Jones is more Alex Smith than AJ McCarron.
Bears- Samuel Cosmi, OT
The Bears are likely to lose Allen Robinson, and with that I think they need to focus on their best offensive weapon left in David Montgomery. Getting an absolute monster of a man to man at a tackle position can help possibly make the Bears an elite rushing team if they continue to build along this path.
Colts- Alex Leatherwood, OT
The retirement of Constanzo makes this pick a bit of a no-brainer. The Colts need a LT, and they get one in Leatherwood. Ballard and Reich get to keep rolling with their offense behind a prospect that I like quite a bit for them. I could also see the argument to select an Edge here, but given this franchise's history with not protecting their QB I would much rather have another O-Lineman.
Titans- Gregory Rousseau, Edge
Vrabel and the titans like physical freaks, and a freak they get in Greg Rousseau. His elite athleticism is that of a top five edge rusher, but he slips down as teams fear his floor is insanely low. The Titans roll the dice to try and save a pass rush that was out sacked by the Giants interior lineman in 2020, and gamble that this will pay off.
Jets- Jaycee Horn, CB
Lamar Jackson is an elite QB and any team would be happy to have him, Lamar Jackson on the other hand has no business starting at CB on an NFL team. The Jets rectify this issue by selecting an intriguing CB prospect in Horn. I personally don’t really know what I think of Horn quite yet, but I know he deserves to go in the first and that the Jets would be happy to have him.
Steelers- Najee Harris, RB
Najee Harris is a patient running back who is great at finding the holes in the defense who supplements that style with a great ability to contribute in the passing game. Now when have the Steelers ever utilized a back like that effectively? Joke aside, Harris is a great talent and as I think Ben gives it one more year this is the weapon they bring in to fix their struggling rushing attack.
Jaguars- Jaelan Phillips, EDGE
The Jaguars will look at how the WFT has rebuilt and try to emulate that by getting an elite edge rushing pair of their own. Enter Jaelan Phillips, one of my favorite gems of this class. He is far from a guaranteed prospect, but I love his ability as a pass rusher and when placed opposite Josh Allen I see a foundation of a playoff-caliber defense if Phillips translates to the next level.
Browns- Joseph Ossai, EDGE
The Browns will likely lose Olivier Vernon this offseason, and replacing him would be a wise move to not have that defense totally fall into disarray. Ossai has the potential to be an effective edge rusher in the NFL, and the Browns should take a chance on him in order to make sure that they can replicate the pass rush that even kind of makes that defense respectable.
Buccaneers- Christian Barmore, DL
Christian Barmore is a talented player, and he is being drafted to help fill big shoes. The Bucs pass rush is losing its top man in Shaw Barrett this offseason, and Christian Barmore can help solidify the front 7. As the first DL off the board, he can potentially help support a bucs pass rush and add another weapon to the Bucs arsenal they have effectively used to control the rushing attack of other teams.
Ravens- Rondale Moore, WR
The Ravens are… lacking at the WR position, and for that reason they select the best WR left on the board. Rondale Moore brings a good weapon for Lamar Jackson to throw to, and support the talented young QBs development as a passer.
Saints- Zaven Collins, LB
The Saints are likely to lose Drew Brees this offseason, but unfortunately I think they won’t be able to get a QB that can fully fill his shoes. So instead of trying to recapture the magic of that short passing attack they support the new QB, whoever it is, by adding a versatile defensive weapon that can make a dangerous Saints defense even more of a nightmare. His prowess as a blitzer is appealing to Payton, and I think that while Collins could bust out his athletic traits plus his versatility will draw Payton in.
Bills- Azeez Ojulari, EDGE
The Bills have a hell of an offense nowadays, but the once elite defense is in need of a little bit of support in order to reclaim what they were in 2019. This comes by trying to increase the pass rush of the team, as it allows the safeties and White to work their magic and lock down the passing game. Ojulari is not my personal favorite prospect, but he has talent and I think McDermott would be wise to take a shot on him.
Packers- Chris Olave, WR
Aaron Rodgers is coming off an MVP campaign, and that is without having a real WR2. The Packers decide to add strength to an already terrifying passing game by adding one of the best route runners in the class. He may not transform into an elite #1 option, but Olave is a great target for the Pack to try and further an already terrifyingly powerful offense.
Chiefs- Alijah Vera-Tucker, IOL
Alijah Vera-Tucker is a steady player that has the potential to be a contributor at the guard slot, and the projected superbowl champions struggled up the middle badly. Patrick Mahomes is everything to this franchise, and using yet another 1st round pick to protect him would be a wise decision.
Jaguars- Jalen Mayfield, OT
The Jaguars learn from the Bengals mistakes and immediately make moves to shore up a mediocre O-Line that could get their new franchise QB seriously injured. They do this by bringing in a solid OT prospect to try and offer Lawrence protection from good edge rushers. While not a perfect OT prospect, Mayfield is a slam-dunk pick for a team looking to protect their new QB.
Jets- Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR
I LOVE Amon-Ra. He will be a steal in this draft, and only to meet rule #1 will I qualify that he does still have some bust potential. By drafting St. Brown, the new QB on the block in Fields for the Jets gets a weapon to grow with. This strategy has worked in recent years (Burrow-Higgins, Jones-Slayton), and the Jets bring in a great weapon to try and replicate this strategy.
Falcons- Dylan Moses, LB
As I said earlier, the Falcons need help at every level of their defense. That being said, with Deion Jones already in the linebacking corp they can afford to make a risky decision and draft a dominant athlete who has unfortunately underperformed in his last season in college. This pick is a high risk / high reward decision, but the Falcons need to roll the dice if they want to be relevant again any time soon.
Dolphins- Travis Etienne, RB
The Dolphins continue to commit to rebuilding their team to fit the skillset of Tua Tagovailoa, and part of that plan includes obtaining a much better running game than the one they currently have. Etienne isn’t a perfect prospect, but what he brings is a pedigree of success to the Dolphins that would certainly be appealing to Flores. Etienne, Sewell, and Bateman could bring a spark to an offense that desperately needs one.
Eagles- Nick Bolton, LB
The Eagles are bad, but the Linebacking corp needs extra attention. For this reason they take the best Linebacker left on the board in Nick Bolton. He won’t solve all of this defenses problems as they are likely to lose their best player in Brandon Graham, but maybe he can stem the bleeding of a mediocre defense that is only getting worse.
Bengals- Terrace Marshall Jr., WR
While earlier I said I didn’t believe the Bengals needed an elite #1 wideout, they can definitely afford to go and get another decent one. This is where Marshall Jr. comes in, the big man is a college teammate of Joe Burrow’s, and could be a contributor in the red zone. While I personally don’t expect him to be the best WR in this class, his size makes him someone you can’t take your eyes off of, which helps the already great other members of the Bengals skill positions.
Bengals (Via ATL)- Creed Humphrey, IOL
The Bengals continue to rebuild the O-Line to protect their investment in Joe Burrow by adding a good interior lineman to shore up a weak point on the team. Humphrey is also a big man and can contribute heavily to the rushing attack leveled by Gio Bernard and Joe Mixon. This may not be the sexiest draft for the Bengals, but they do what they have to do to maximize their investment in Joe Burrow.
Broncos- Daviyon Nixon, DL
The Broncos continue to invest in their defense by adding an interior DL that can work alongside Chubb, Miller, and Casey to create an absolute monster of a pass rush. Nixon is not a slam dunk pick, especially because the Broncos are drafting to add to an existing strength of theirs, but if they want to survive vs. the Elite deep passers in the AFCW, they need to be able to get to the QB quickly. For that basic reason, they invest heavily in their defense in the early round of this draft.
Lions- Kyle Trask, QB
If not this offseason, then sometime soon Matthew Stafford’s time in Detroit is coming to an end. The Lions get another QB through the door to backup the aging Stafford for the short term while he develops into hopefully the franchise guy in Detroit. Lord only knows they need one after the only thing keeping that team from drowning in Stafford is gone.
Patriots (Via NYG)- Pat Friermuth, TE
Bill Bellichek loves his tight ends, and this time he pulls off a trade with the Giants to leapfrog them and Jaguars to select the player aptly dubbed “Baby Gronk”. Friermuth is not a perfect prospect, some injury concerns are present, but his talents are impressive in every phase of the game and the Patriots should kill to have a weapon like this. The Giants do this to supplement a move they make later on in this mock.
Falcons (Via SF)- Trevon Moehrig-Woodard, S
For one last time, the Falcons need help at every level of the defense and this time they get a safety to work the secondary of this defense. Moehrig is an impressive player to me, and I think he has a chance to outperform his draft stock and be an anchor for a struggling Falcons secondary.
Cowboys- Jay Tufele, DL
The Cowboys are egregious up the middle of their defense. It is an absolute embarrassment to watch, and for that reason they make a pick that is far from sexy in selecting Tufele. Tufele is a talented player who I believe could help remove the sad reality that RBs were able to rush all over the Cowboys defensive line for much of the year. This pick is not the sexy kind that Jerry Jones loves to make, but he needs to bite the bullet and select someone to help their struggling run defense.
Jaguars- Eric Stokes, CB
The Jaguars miss Jalen Ramsey patrolling their secondary, but now they need to replace him with a new set of DBs that can support the rebuilt edge rush of this defense. This is where Eric Stokes comes in, an SEC proven defender which may appeal to a team that needs help in the secondary.
Giants (Via NE)- Jayson Oweh, EDGE
The G-Men thank their lucky stars and select the second player of their draft that has slipped down the draft board in Jayson Oweh. The pass rusher benefited in the past from working alongside Micah Parsons, but his talents stood out in their own right this year on an otherwise disappointing Penn State defense without Micah Parsons. While I personally favor Basham as a pass rusher, Oweh is a great fit for the giants 3-4 disguise scheme and New York is lucky to have him more often than not.
Chargers- Carlos Basham Jr., EDGE
An underrated part of what made the Browns good this year was their ability to jar the ball loose and force turnovers, allowing the offense to run the score up with an otherwise mediocre defense. With Melvin Ingram likely gone, the Chargers aim to replicate the Browns in that way and select Basham Jr. The Edge Rusher out of Wake Forest is an intriguing process, but to me his ability to force fumbles is a significant boon that should draw in the Chargers and their high power offense that scores more often than not when they have the ball. Turnovers win games, and the Chargers draft Basham for his ability to force them coming off the edge opposite Bosa.
Raiders- Shaun Wade, CB
The Raiders take a chance on Shaun Wade who has regressed in a major way when he was pushed to the outside on the Buckeye defense this year. He still has the desirable physical traits, including the size and speed to bully slot receivers around the league and be effective in zone coverage against large receivers and TEs. He is a developmental prospect, but at his best he is a high-end talent, and the Raiders defense desperately needs one of those.
Cardinals- Patrick Jones II, EDGE
The Cardinals defense has a great pass rusher in Chandler Jones, but he went down this year and the team suffered for it. While Haason Reddick stepped up for them, he is headed for free agency. The Cardinals bring in a good edge rusher in Patrick Jones out of Pitt to try and make sure that the pass rushing burden doesn’t fully fall on one person like it has the past two years under Kingsbury. If Jones pans out, the Cards may be able to dominate the difficult NFCW and that is why they’ll try to beef up their pass rush.
Dolphins- Trey Smith, IOL
In case you haven’t figured it out by now, I like the idea of rebuilding the Dolphins offense to match the already good defense they have built. They bring in Trey Smith to compete for an IOL job which he will likely win to form a young core of Smith and Sewell on that O-Line. The idea of this draft being to give Tua a new weapon and a good run game to lean on, and if he can’t make the most of it then the next QB will have a great situation to walk into.
Football Team- Kadarius Toney, WR
One of my favorite prospects goes to one of my least favorite teams. As a Giants fan living in DC, I would be absolutely crushed if this happens but ultimately I think it makes too much sense. Toney is a great weapon in terms of breaking tackles, joining an already slippery Washington offense built around Antonio Gibson and Terry McLaurin for Mac Jones to pilot. While he is far from a complete player, Toney is a fun weapon that I believe Meshes well with Mac Jones and what Rivera is trying to build in Washington, and for that reason he is a great pick at 51st overall in the draft.
Bears- Walker Little, OT
The Bears draft another monster OT to work opposite of Cosmi. Walker Little can support the plan I have proposed for the Bears draft to try and become a good rushing attack, and he can become an NFL caliber pass blocker in my opinion. The Bears need a new direction, and being a team that punches people in the mouth in the trenches is one that they can certainly achieve with these two picks.
Titans- Marvin Wilson, DL
The Titans need a lot of help rushing the passer, and they take another pass rusher who has shown flashes of being a great NFL caliber talent. Wilson at the interior position for the Seminoles shows pass rushing talent, but his floors have been unfortunately low. The hope for the Titans is that he and Rousseau can develop into a great interior / exterior edge rushing tandem that may save a struggling pass rush on an otherwise playoff caliber team.
Colts- Joe Tryon, EDGE
The Colts are, in my opinion, one of the best coached teams in the NFL, and they know that as well. For this reason they take an intriguing project edge rusher in Joe Tryon. He has nearly every physical trait you look for in an elite NFL pass rusher, while also having very few of the desired techniques of one. The Colts take a risk and pick him, trusting that over the next few years they can unlock his potential.
Steelers- Liam Eichenberg, OT
The starting OT of the Steelers in Zach Banner ultimately went down with a season ending injury early in the 2020 season while the rest of the O-Line only gets older, and for this reason they inject a rookie into the group. Eichenberg is a promising prospect, and I believe that the Steelers are a good place to utilize his talents.
Seahawks- Josh Myers, IOL
Not my favorite pick of the draft, but the Steelers need help up the middle of the trenches and if they intend to commit to running the ball more they need it double. Myers is reached for a bit in order to supplement this need, and his help both in the run game and passing attack will surely be appreciated by Seahawks HC Pete Caroll.
Giants (Via LAR)- Brevin Jordan, TE
Using their third round pick and some of the assets acquired from the patriots trade the Giants move back up into the first round to select a TE of their own. The Rams need to recoup picks from their litany of trades over the past few years, and they gain more mid round picks to supply depth to their otherwise top-heavy team. The Giants take a complete TE in Brevin Jordan, drawn in by the fact that he won’t be a liability in every way the same way Evan Engram was. At the very least, he likely won’t cause three separate interceptions by volleyball setting the ball into the air for the defense to catch.
Buccaneers- Jevon Holland, S
The Bucs were exposed this year when Tyreek Hill dropped 200 yards on them in a half, and as more speedster wideouts enter the league they may want to fortify the help they afford their CBs over the top. In comes Jevon Holland, a player who is just solid, I don’t view him as particularly elite but he is almost certainly going to be a good role player for the Bucs. The Bucs have their defensive playmakers in the front 7, now they just need the help up over top to let the guys up front do their work.
Ravens- Quincy Roche, EDGE
The Ravens are likely to lose Matthew Judon and Yannick Ngakoue this offseason, and they try to solve this issue by reaching for the Miami product to support their weak edge group. It is just a solid, respectable pick to make.
Browns- Chazz Surrat, LB
The Browns need some help in the back 7, but a lot of it for the secondary will come off IR. This means another linebacker could help improve this defense, and for that reason they select the best LB left on the board in Chazz Surrat.
Saints- Levi Onwuzerike, DL
The Saints defensive leader in Cameron Jordan is only getting older, and now is the time to start finding him help and eventually, his replacement on that DL. This is where the talented Onwuzerike is drafted, as he is a flawed prospect that can learn from Jordan and eventually grow into the role of the alpha on this defensive front.
Bills- Tyson Campbell, CB
The Josh Norman experiment was… passable for the Buffalo Bills. That being said he is 33 and that secondary is already very expensive. With a pricy Josh Allen extension on the horizon, getting a good cheap CB is a smart idea for the Bills. This is why they use their second round pick to select Tyson Campbell.
Packers- Jalen Twyman, DL
It is no secret at this point that the Packers weakness is their run defense. By adding another player onto the interior defensive line they can begin to get their feet under them. This is the reason they select the Pitt product to develop and bulk up next to Kenny Clark.
Chiefs- Asante Samuel Jr., CB
The Chiefs offense is… expensive to maintain. For this reason the secondary is a bit of a revolving door for this team. With most of their starting CBs leaving this offseason, they could use a young controllable piece to develop in Spags defense. Enter Asante Samuel Jr., who gets picked to fill just that role. Trades:
Pick 4 for Pick 12, 43, and future assets (Falcons and 49ers)
Pick 5 for Pick 8, 39, and future assets (Bengals and Panthers)
Pick 57 for 3rd Round Pick + future assets (Rams and Giants)
Pick 43 for pick 46 and future assets (Giants and Patriots)
Thanks for reading! Please leave your thoughts/criticisms below. I would love to talk about them!
Weekend IV Report - Tickers with low IV and cheap premiums
What's up fellas at Options. I made a tool called FD Ranker that logs the average IV of popular tickers. The tool is inclusive of almost 1,000 tickers now. What is this tool good for I posted in ThetaGang the list with HIGH IV options which is great for running the wheel or selling options. This list is an inverse of that list and displays tickers where IV is pretty low, thus, purchasing calls will likely be cheaper. For example, AAPL implied volatility right now is almost back to the pre-March lows. Remember a low IV can go lower and a high IV can go higher. Do your DD before entering any positions!
Low IV Tickers List
*Some of the market cap data is off, so always double check before entering any plays! Please note this list is only inclusive of the more popular tickers mentioned around Reddit. If you want to see the full list and filter by ticker, check out the tool in the link at the top.
Ticker
Market Cap
Stock Price
IV (%)
SPY - SPDR S&P 500
325B
$369.00
16%
PEP - Pepsico Inc.
200B
$145.04
18%
VZ - Verizon Communications
243B
$58.84
18%
COST - Costco Wholesale Corp
161B
$364.69
20%
PG - Procter & Gamble
341B
$137.72
20%
HSY - Hershey Company
31.2B
$149.95
20%
WM - Waste Management
49.4B
$117.00
20%
WMT - Walmart
406B
$143.50
21%
HD - Home Depot.
292B
$270.92
21%
CSCO - Cisco Systems
188B
$44.55
21%
MCD - McDonald`s Corp
158B
$211.39
21%
KO - Coca-Cola Co
230B
$53.44
22%
ORCL - Oracle Corp.
191B
$64.96
22%
QQQ - Invesco QQQ Trust
151B
$309.58
22%
BMY - Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
138B
$61.15
22%
YUM - Yum Brands Inc.
32.4B
$107.54
23%
TM - Toyota Motor Corporation - ADR
245B
$150.47
23%
FIT - Fitbit Inc - Class A
1.67B
$6.84
24%
KR - Kroger Co.
24B
$31.53
24%
SNE - Sony Corporation. - ADR
122B
$96.84
25%
NKE - Nike, Inc. - Class B
222B
$141.60
25%
V - Visa Inc - Class A
460B
$208.70
25%
LOW - Lowe`s Cos., Inc.
119B
$162.77
25%
CVS - CVS Health Corp
89B
$67.97
25%
JNJ - Johnson & Johnson
401B
$152.47
25%
DPZ - Dominos Pizza Inc
15.6B
$396.73
26%
IWM - BTC iShares Russell 2000
59.1B
$199.01
26%
T - AT&T, Inc.
204B
$28.69
26%
TGT - Target Corp
87.7B
$175.19
26%
MMM - 3M Co.
101B
$174.52
26%
GOOG - Alphabet Inc - Class C
1.17T
$1740.55
26%
DE - Deere & Co.
84.4B
$269.21
27%
GOOGL - Alphabet Inc - Class A
1.17T
$1732.03
27%
EA - Electronic Arts, Inc.
41.1B
$141.80
27%
DLTR - Dollar Tree Inc
25.6B
$108.98
27%
BX - Blackstone Group Inc (The) - Class A
43.8B
$64.99
27%
WORK - Slack Technologies Inc - Class A
20.9B
$42.65
27%
SBUX - Starbucks Corp.
119B
$101.99
28%
MO - Altria Group Inc.
77.5B
$41.72
28%
GILD - Gilead Sciences, Inc.
71.5B
$57.07
28%
ABT - Abbott Laboratories
192B
$108.35
28%
IBM - International Business Machines Corp.
111B
$124.69
28%
UNH - Unitedhealth Group Inc
323B
$340.79
28%
MA - Mastercard Incorporated - Class A
332B
$336.00
28%
CMG - Chipotle Mexican Grill
39.5B
$1412.55
28%
ADBE - Adobe Inc
240B
$499.78
29%
JPM - JPMorgan Chase & Co.
380B
$124.52
29%
MSFT - Microsoft Corporation
1.68T
$222.84
29%
DIS - Walt Disney Co (The)
315B
$173.73
29%
ATVI - Activision Blizzard Inc
70.3B
$90.94
30%
TXN - Texas Instruments Inc.
148B
$161.75
30%
HSBC - HSBC Holdings
106B
$26.05
30%
CAT - Caterpillar Inc.
97.5B
$179.56
31%
UPS - United Parcel Service, Inc. - Class B
149B
$172.19
31%
HPQ - HP Inc
31.3B
$24.26
31%
AZN - Astrazeneca plc - ADR
127B
$48.55
31%
BKNG - Booking Holdings Inc
85.5B
$2087.97
31%
GS - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
88.1B
$256.16
31%
QCOM - Qualcomm, Inc.
168B
$148.87
31%
BAC - Bank Of America Corp.
259B
$29.96
31%
PFE - Pfizer Inc.
207B
$37.27
32%
BK - Bank Of New York Mellon Corp
36.4B
$41.04
32%
TTWO - Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
23.3B
$200.77
32%
AMAT - Applied Materials Inc.
78B
$85.34
32%
CRM - Salesforce.Com Inc
207B
$225.78
33%
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc - Class C
52.8B
$72.99
33%
WMB - Williams Cos Inc
25.2B
$20.74
33%
FDX - Fedex Corp
71.3B
$268.82
33%
MS - Morgan Stanley
123B
$68.09
34%
FOXA - Fox Corporation - Class A
16.8B
$28.30
34%
DB - Deutsche Bank AG
22.4B
$10.85
35%
AMZN - Amazon.com Inc.
1.59T
$3171.93
35%
DD - DuPont de Nemours Inc
51B
$69.55
35%
TSM - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing - ADR
550B
$105.97
36%
NVDA - NVIDIA Corp
322B
$520.20
36%
GOLD - Barrick Gold Corp.
40.7B
$22.90
36%
WDAY - Workday Inc - Class A
44.8B
$248.77
36%
EBAY - EBay Inc.
34.5B
$50.07
36%
LULU - Lululemon Athletica inc.
44B
$351.18
36%
XOM - Exxon Mobil Corp.
176B
$41.60
37%
WBA - Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc
34.2B
$39.58
37%
C - Citigroup Inc
126B
$60.57
37%
ZNGA - Zynga Inc - Class A
10.7B
$9.90
38%
PYPL - PayPal Holdings Inc
280B
$238.77
38%
NOK - Nokia Corp - ADR
2.55B
$3.89
38%
FB - Facebook Inc - Class A
763B
$267.18
38%
PZZA - Papa John`s International, Inc.
2.88B
$87.53
38%
INTC - Intel Corp.
193B
$47.08
38%
ULTA - Ulta Beauty Inc
14.9B
$264.80
38%
NOW - ServiceNow Inc
108B
$553.89
39%
MTCH - Match Group Inc. - New
39.4B
$151.92
39%
SPLK - Splunk Inc
29.1B
$180.09
39%
F - Ford Motor Co.
34.6B
$8.86
39%
AAPL - Apple Inc
2.24T
$132.03
39%
LOGI - Logitech International S.A.
16.1B
$92.97
39%
GM - General Motors Company
59.5B
$41.58
39%
WFC - Wells Fargo & Co.
123B
$29.84
40%
BP - BP plc - ADR
71.1B
$21.06
40%
MELI - MercadoLibre Inc
84.3B
$1689.72
40%
ARKF - ARK ETF Trust - ARK Fintech Innovation ETF
1.74B
$50.29
41%
ARKW - ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Next Generation Internet ETF
Note: I'm including trades in this mock, but since it's only one round, I'm not going to get too much into detail about compensation outside of 1st round picks and players. Most trades that happen in reality tend to swap some later round picks as well, often going both ways; go ahead and assume some of that will be happening where it makes sense, but I won't be going through all of the draft value stuff to work out those specific numbers. I'm also not making firm assumptions about free agency, but I'll mention situations that I think are most likely and relevant, so forgive me if I'm a bit inconsistent about where free agents come into play and where they don't.
Important free agency / trade notes:
Watson traded to the Jets, Darnold to Texans, trade explained in mock.
Garoppolo to the Colts for a day 2 pick and some change.
Minshew to SF for a mid-round pick.
Cousins stays in Minnesota.
Ryan stays in Atlanta.
Winston to the Bears as a free agent.
Trubisky to the Patriots as a free agent.
1) JAX - Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson This pick doesn't need much explanation. He's the best QB prospect we've seen since Luck, he's been pretty much locked in as #1 overall since his freshman year, and the Jags are taking him. 2) NYJ > HOU - Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State Trade: Texans trade Deshaun Watson to Jets for #2, #23, a future 1st round pick, and Sam Darnold. There it is, Watson's going to New York. Watson wants out, the Texans don't want to trade him, but I think Watson will call their bluff and sit out the season if they don't let him go. The Texans are a dumpster fire, but they know they're better off getting assets in return for Watson than letting him quit because they wanted to look tough. The Jets get the new face of their franchise for a pretty fair price -- Miami is the other likely trade partner IMO and I think they're content to stick with Tua and not get stuck in a bidding war, so the price for NYJ might not actually be as high as people may expect (it's important to remember, when comparing this to the Stafford trade, the Rams paid extra to offload Goff's contract). Now, onto the pick. I actually have Zach Wilson as QB2 on my board, but with Darnold joining, the Texans can take the guy that I think has an edge in terms of athleticism. David Culley is coming from Baltimore with Lamar Jackson, and I could see him leaning towards the running threat in this scenario. Plus, if Jack Easterby is still pulling the strings, Fields being outspoken about his religious faith might be enough of an edge over Wilson (who despite going to BYU, has never really said much about his beliefs). I know that sounds crazy, but the Texans are crazy right now, and I'm just a guy eating popcorn waiting to see what happens. 3) MIA > CAR - Zach Wilson, QB, BYU Trade: Dolphins trade #3 to Panthers for #8 and a future 1st. Another trade breaks, and another QB goes. The Dolphins are in a really interesting spot at #3 overall. They didn't make a blockbuster move for Watson, and they'll build around Tua. Tua wasn't anything amazing as a rookie, but he certainly didn't look bad; expectations for rookie QB's have gotten a bit out of hand lately. Miami have their choice of any non-QB in the draft, and they'll be looking hard at Sewell here, as well as the receivers. But they also aren't desperate for OL help, and there's a ton of WR talent in this draft, so when Carolina offers a 1st round pick for a 5 spot drop, that's a pretty good deal. On Carolina's side, they're more than happy to jump Atlanta and screw their division rivals out of an excellent QB prospect. The Falcons are probably furious with this trade, but they weren't willing to overpay to move up one spot when they do still have Matt Ryan in at least the short term. The Panthers need a QB sooner rather than later, and a 1st rounder next year is a pretty fair price for what may be a franchise QB. Zach Wilson is my QB2 in this draft. He's got the arm, the smarts, and the ability to move around and extend plays and make things happen. He reminds me a lot of Baker Mayfield, that's something Rhule can be excited about. Joe Brady might not be in Carolina for long, but he'll have fun with a guy like Wilson. 4) ATL - Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon The Falcons miss out on the elite QB prospects, and with maybe the best WR corps in the NFL, their decision isn't too difficult here. They could reach a bit for the top CB or EDGE in the draft, but none of those guys are quite the blue-chip prospect that Sewell is. Sewell is probably, at worst, the 3rd or 4th best player in the draft, and could well be the best of them all. The Falcons have a reliable LT in Jake Matthews, but Sewell can come in as an immediate starter at either LG or RT in place of Carpenter or McGary. 5) CIN - Ja'Marr Chase, WR, LSU The Bengals are sad to miss out on Sewell, but they can't be too sad when they land Chase. After a year of QB shuffling at LSU, opting out of the 2020 season might actually have been more protective of Chase's draft stock than harmful. Yes, DeVonta Smith stole the spotlight and skyrocketed up draft boards to challenge Chase for the WR1 spot, but Chase has about 30 pounds on Smith and might be a safer bet in terms of durability. It also gives the Bengals the chance to reunite Joe Burrow with his favorite college target. 6) PHI - DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama And Smith wasn't far behind. The Eagles are in desperate need of WR help. They took Reagor in the late 1st round last year, but he didn't contribute much after missing some time with injury, and Smith is too good to pass up. They've got to find some way to help Carson Wentz regain some confidence in hopes of being at least a decent starter again, and if they have to turn to Hurts, he's familiar with Smith from his time at Bama. 7) DET - Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama I honestly don't like mocking big runs like this. 3 QB's in a row in the top 3, and then 3 WR's in a row after that. It doesn't sound all that realistic, and I'm well aware that probably none of what I predict will come true (aside from Lawrence). But this pick makes too much sense. The Lions shipped out Stafford and got Goff and picks in return, and they're entering what seems to be a full rebuild. I don't think there's any way Kenny Golladay sticks around. Basically all of their WR's are free agents this year. They need to give Goff something to work with if they roll with him, and I don't think they gamble on Trey Lance at this spot. Waddle missed most of this season, but he was being hyped up as the Bama star WR going into 2020 for a reason. He's the last of the real blue-chip elite WR talents in a very strong WR class, and that's hard to pass up. 8) CAR > MIA - Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State The Dolphins miss out on an elite WR. That stings. But they do have another 1st round pick and this draft class is pretty stacked. They might not be getting Jaylen Waddle, but there are some other quality 1st round talents that should be available later. At this spot, they give Brian Flores the best LB in the class. Parsons is an interesting prospect. He's a freak athlete, fairly versatile, and despite some character concerns, he could be a leader on this defense for years. He can come in as an immediate replacement for Elandon Roberts and learn from Kyle Van Noy, possibly shifting between ILB and SLB. 9) DEN - Trey Lance, QB, NDSU While the Lions weren't ready to gamble on Lance at 7, the Broncos pounce on him at 9. Drew Lock isn't the worst QB in the world, but in a division with Mahomes and Herbert (and Carr isn't a slouch, either), the Broncos have to find a talented QB if they want to have any hope of competing. Trey Lance is a pretty unique prospect, coming from an FCS school with only 1 year of starting experience and not playing in 2020 (outside of a hastily thrown-together showcase game that really isn't much to judge). He's an incredible athlete with a ton of upside, and he threw ZERO interceptions in his one season as a starter. Yes, the fact that he played in the FCS at one of the most dominant programs in college football history can't be ignored, but the talent is pretty obvious. This might be Elway's last chance to right the ship at QB, so you have to imagine they'll be all-in on giving Lance all of the support they can. 10) DAL - Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama The Cowboys could go a few different ways here -- Slater or Darrisaw at OT, Pitts at TE, Paye or Rousseau on the edge, but CB is the most glaring need on this team, and Surtain looks like the complete package. The Cowboys drafted Trevon Diggs out of Bama last year, and he had an up and down season. Awuzie could be on his way out, and they desperately need someone that can take over the CB1 role and take some of the pressure off of Diggs. Surtain looks like he can be an NFL CB1, and he'll link up with an old teammate in Dallas. 11) NYG - Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida The Giants need help in a lot of areas, but if they're going to stick with Daniel Jones for another year, he needs all the help he can get. It's too early here to reach for a WR, but the Giants need a reliable pass catcher. Sterling Shepard is a decent option, but he's not exactly a game changer. Evan Engram, despite somehow making the pro bowl this year, is not a good TE. He's fast, but he can't catch a cold. Enter Kyle Pitts. Pitts is everything that Engram was supposed to be, except he can catch the ball. He can play TE, he can split out wide, and he can run some gadget plays. Whatever it is, he's probably better at it than most anyone else on the roster. 12) SF - Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech First things first, the QB trade. This pick wasn't involved, but I can't really let it go unaddressed. The 49ers part ways with Garoppolo, sending him to Indy for a day 2 pick (either a 2nd rounder, or a 3rd and another pick, whatever). Then they send a mid-round pick (I'd think probably a 4th) to Jacksonville for Minshew. So Gardner Minshew will be the presumed starter for 2021, competing with Mullens for the job. The top 4 QB's are gone and the 49ers don't want to reach for Mac Jones here. Farley is the top CB on a lot of boards. I don't think he's quite as good as Surtain right now, but he's got a ton of potential to be great. The 49ers already don't have the greatest CB corps, and they could be losing Sherman and Verrett to free agency, without much left behind to take over. 13) LAC - Rashawn Slater, OT, Northwestern This one's pretty simple. Chargers have found their franchise QB in Herbert, now they need to protect him. Their OL is... not great. Slater is a very solid OL prospect. He was an amazing LT at Northwestern (watch him vs Chase Young when they played Ohio State), and any teams with concerns about his measurables for a tackle can slot him in at LG and expect a quality starter. 14) MIN - Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech The Vikings probably would have preferred Slater here, but Darrisaw is still a solid OL prospect. I considered going with Vera-Tucker as more of a true OG, but the value just isn't there in my eyes. There's some solid IOL talent available later, and a good tackle is hard to come by. 15) NE > LV - Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami Trade: Raiders trade #17 and later picks to Patriots for #15.* Shocker, the Patriots trade down. After signing Mitchell Trubisky back to be the presumed starting QB, they trade down from #15 to gain some draft caiptal. The Raiders make a small jump to get ahead of the Cardinals and take the top EDGE on their board. Rousseau may be raw, but he's a hell of an athlete, and the upside is too much for Mayock and Gruden to pass up. It's like the Saints' Davenport trade a few years back, just way less expensive. 16) ARI - Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina The Cardinals make a pretty simple pick here. They need real CB help, and Horn is the top CB on the board. I love Jaycee Horn as a prospect. I actually have him as the 1b to Surtain's 1a on my board. He's an absolute ballhawk, and while he's a little handsy in coverage, that can be coached. 17) LV > NE - Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU I know the Pats don't do well with 1st round WR's, but they don't have many better options. The lack of offensive weapons clearly played at least some part in Brady's departure. If the Patriots want to be contenders again, they need to be able to score points, and Garoppolo needs receivers that are better than N'Keal Harry and the corpse of Julian Edelman. Marshall is a tall WR that can play on the outside, in the slot, and move around to create mismatches. He should provide a reliable target for Jimmy and the new-look Pats. 18) MIA - Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota The Dolphins passed on elite WR's in the top 5, but they'll take the top WR available here to give Tua some help. Bateman isn't a burner, but he's god decent size and he's a great route-runner, so he should be able to create some separation and give Tua go-to option. 19) WAS - Mac Jones, QB, Alabama The 5th QB goes. I know Mac Jones is a bit of a controversial prospect. He had all the talent in the world at Bama, and he doesn't exactly stand out as a huge talent compared to guys like Fields and Wilson. But he's proven to be a poised, accurate passer with a good head on his shoulders. I don't see him getting past Washington. I think Jones can be successful NFL QB in the right situation. Is WFT the right situation? I'm not sure. But I think Rivera will like what he sees, and Alex Smith could be the perfect mentor for him. 20) CHI - Liam Eichenberg, OT, Notre Dame The Bears bring in Winston as a free agent in hopes of solving their eternal QB problem. If nothing else, he's got the arm to sling it downfield in the windy city. He was the best option available (really the only free agent worth going after as a possible starter), and they'll keep Foles for another year to compete with him. The least they could do is beef up the OL. Eichenberg is a pro-ready LT that the Bears can slot in from day 1. 21) IND - Kwity Paye, EDGE, Michigan With Garoppolo coming in at QB, the Colts can turn their attention elsewhere. With needs at OL and WR, it's not the easiest decision, but Paye falling right into their laps is too much to pass up. Paye is the #1 EDGE on a lot of boards, so a fall to 21 is probably not likely. The Colts don't mind. They get to snatch him away from the Titans, too. 22) TEN - Daviyon Nixon, DT, Iowa Nixon burst onto the scene this year at Iowa as a pass-rushing 3T. Tennessee needs help all over the DL, and Nixon is a nice piece to start with. He might need some time get up to NFL speed, but he showed massive production and the Titans will hope for more. 23) NYJ > HOU - Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue The Texans got their QB in Fields, now they need to support him. Fuller is likely gone, Cooks is likely gone this year or next, and that would leave Keke Coutee as the next best WR on the roster. Moore does not have the size of a WR1. He'll work mostly out of the slot and on gadget plays. But he's electric. He could bring life to an offense that will be rebuilding from the ground up. Anything to try to win back some fans. 24) PIT - Samuel Cosmi, OT, Texas With Villanueva likely leaving in free agency, the Steelers take the top OT on the board as an immediate replacement. Cosmi might end up slotting in at RT, as the Steelers might like Okorafor more on the left. 25) JAX - Eric Stokes, CB, Georgia The Jags will take a hard look at going OL here to protect Trevor Lawrence, but they can't afford not to make a move in the secondary. Stokes can be a playmaker at CB. 26) CLE - Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa Collins seems to go to the Browns in pretty much every mock, but it makes too much sense for me to go another direction. He can do it all. He's a great run stopper, he excels rushing the passer, and he's not totally helpless in coverage, either. He'll be a nice defensive piece in a pretty talented Browns team. 27) BAL - Alijah Vera-Tucker, OG, USC The Ravens look hard at EDGE here, but Vera-Tucker is one of the top talents available, and they need help on the OL. He'll slot into the RG spot, and hopefully be playing next to Orlando Brown, though I think Brown could be on his way out soon. 28) NO - Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame The Saints are going to look very different next year. Brees is all but officially retired, and we'll likely see a lot of roster turnover in order to get under the cap. The most obvious move that will be made is the release of OLB Kwon Alexander. Luckily, Owusu-Koramoah has just the skillset to come in and take on that coverage LB role. 29) GB - Nick Bolton, LB, Missouri The Packers have a big need at CB, but the value just doesn't line up there for me. They could also use a good coverage-savvy LB, and Nick Bolton fits that bill. 30) BUF - Wyatt Davis, OG, Ohio State Not a flashy pick, but the Bills live and die with Josh Allen. An upgrade at guard should help Allen live. 31) TB - Joseph Ossai, EDGE, Texas The Bucs really don't have too many glaring needs, so this pick comes down to BPA on their shortlist. For me, this comes down to Ossai and Jalen Mayfield. When in doubt, take the pass rusher. Ossai should fit nicely as a 3-4 OLB in Tampa. Both Barrett and Pierre-Paul are free agents this year, and they won't keep both. 32) KC - Jaylen Mayfield, OT, Michigan KC is a simple pick. You got Mahomes? Protect Mahomes. Mayfield can play tackle, or move into guard if needed. He's the best OL on the board, and the last pick of round one.
So, tell me why I'm wrong, why I'm right for the wrong reasons, and why I'm an idiot in general.
IV Report - Tickers with low IV and cheaper premiums
What's up fellas at smallstreetbets. I made a tool called FD Ranker that logs the average IV of popular tickers. The tool is inclusive of almost 1,000 tickers now. What is this tool good for I posted in ThetaGang the list with HIGH IV options which is great for running the wheel or selling options. This list is an inverse of that list and displays tickers where IV is pretty low, thus, purchasing calls will likely be cheaper. For example, AAPL implied volatility right now is almost back to the pre-March lows. Remember a low IV can go lower and a high IV can go higher. Do your DD before entering any positions!
Low IV Tickers List
*Some of the market cap data is off, so always double check before entering any plays! Please note this list is only inclusive of the more popular tickers mentioned around Reddit. If you want to see the full list and filter by ticker, check out the tool in the link at the top.
Ticker
Market Cap
Stock Price
IV (%)
FIT - Fitbit Inc - Class A
1.72B
$7.00
17%
VZ - Verizon Communications Inc
238B
$57.41
18%
SPY - SSgA Active Trust - SSGA SPDR S&P 500
334B
$378.37
18%
COST - Costco Wholesale Corp
161B
$364.76
20%
PG - Procter & Gamble Co.
342B
$138.03
21%
TM - Toyota Motor Corporation - ADR
250B
$153.69
21%
WMT - Walmart Inc
417B
$147.30
21%
WM - Waste Management, Inc.
49.5B
$117.05
22%
PEP - Pepsico Inc.
196B
$142.08
22%
ORCL - Oracle Corp.
186B
$62.99
22%
KR - Kroger Co.
24.2B
$31.80
23%
HD - Home Depot, Inc.
292B
$270.95
23%
MCD - McDonald`s Corp
160B
$213.97
23%
KO - Coca-Cola Co
216B
$50.16
24%
HSY - Hershey Company
31.2B
$150.03
24%
LOW - Lowe`s Cos., Inc.
122B
$166.23
25%
MMM - 3M Co.
95.3B
$165.35
25%
T - AT&T, Inc.
206B
$28.86
25%
NKE - Nike, Inc. - Class B
231B
$146.85
25%
BMY - Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
147B
$64.86
26%
QQQ - Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1
151B
$314.87
26%
YUM - Yum Brands Inc.
32.5B
$107.49
26%
MO - Altria Group Inc.
76.9B
$41.39
26%
BX - Blackstone Group Inc (The) - Class A
42.3B
$62.84
27%
JNJ - Johnson & Johnson
420B
$159.25
27%
V - Visa Inc - Class A
469B
$213.05
27%
DPZ - Dominos Pizza Inc
15.4B
$390.63
27%
DLTR - Dollar Tree Inc
26.4B
$112.18
28%
IBM - International Business Machines Corp.
115B
$128.37
28%
TGT - Target Corp
97.8B
$195.56
28%
CVS - CVS Health Corp
99.6B
$75.99
28%
HPQ - HP Inc
33.2B
$25.80
28%
IWM - BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - BTC iShares Russell 2000
64.4B
$207.60
28%
DE - Deere & Co.
92.7B
$294.31
29%
JPM - JPMorgan Chase & Co.
421B
$137.91
29%
MSFT - Microsoft Corporation
1.64T
$217.83
30%
UNH - Unitedhealth Group Inc
342B
$360.05
30%
PFE - Pfizer Inc.
210B
$37.69
30%
CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc.
192B
$45.53
30%
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc - Class C
54.8B
$75.88
30%
WORK - Slack Technologies Inc - Class A
20.6B
$42.19
31%
ADBE - Adobe Inc
228B
$474.27
31%
ABT - Abbott Laboratories
196B
$110.53
32%
GILD - Gilead Sciences, Inc.
78.3B
$62.84
32%
MA - Mastercard Incorporated - Class A
344B
$348.85
32%
TXN - Texas Instruments Inc.
157B
$171.46
32%
FDX - Fedex Corp
65B
$245.07
33%
CRM - Salesforce.Com Inc
200B
$218.42
33%
SNE - Sony Corporation. - ADR
131B
$103.74
33%
BAC - Bank Of America Corp.
286B
$33.01
33%
AZN - Astrazeneca plc - ADR
133B
$50.61
33%
GOOGL - Alphabet Inc - Class A
1.19T
$1762.33
34%
BK - Bank Of New York Mellon Corp
40.4B
$45.43
34%
SBUX - Starbucks Corp.
122B
$104.48
34%
GOOG - Alphabet Inc - Class C
1.19T
$1770.89
34%
ATVI - Activision Blizzard Inc
70.3B
$91.00
34%
DIS - Walt Disney Co (The)
324B
$179.01
35%
UPS - United Parcel Service, Inc. - Class B
140B
$161.28
35%
MS - Morgan Stanley
138B
$75.97
36%
GS - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
101B
$293.19
36%
LULU - Lululemon Athletica inc.
45.2B
$361.90
36%
WDAY - Workday Inc - Class A
41.2B
$229.25
36%
BKNG - Booking Holdings Inc
91B
$2219.47
36%
WBA - Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc
41.2B
$47.66
36%
DD - DuPont de Nemours Inc
61.6B
$84.11
37%
HSBC - HSBC Holdings plc - ADR
112B
$27.54
37%
C - Citigroup Inc
138B
$66.37
38%
EA - Electronic Arts, Inc.
40.9B
$141.03
39%
GOLD - Barrick Gold Corp.
41.8B
$23.55
39%
AMAT - Applied Materials Inc.
89.6B
$97.78
39%
EBAY - EBay Inc.
37.2B
$54.07
39%
ULTA - Ulta Beauty Inc
16.3B
$289.55
39%
AMZN - Amazon.com Inc.
1.56T
$3115.62
40%
SPLK - Splunk Inc
26.9B
$167.31
40%
FOXA - Fox Corporation - Class A
18B
$30.39
40%
CAT - Caterpillar Inc.
105B
$193.79
40%
WFC - Wells Fargo & Co.
137B
$33.27
40%
QCOM - Qualcomm, Inc.
176B
$155.97
41%
PZZA - Papa John`s International, Inc.
3.07B
$93.28
41%
WMB - Williams Cos Inc
26.1B
$21.54
41%
ARKF - ARK ETF Trust - ARK Fintech Innovation ETF
2.09B
$50.96
41%
XOM - Exxon Mobil Corp.
198B
$47.02
41%
CMG - Chipotle Mexican Grill
39.2B
$1401.31
42%
NVDA - NVIDIA Corp
337B
$546.22
42%
TTWO - Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
23.7B
$206.99
42%
INTC - Intel Corp.
211B
$51.56
42%
AAPL - Apple Inc
2.17T
$129.09
42%
NOW - ServiceNow Inc
102B
$524.21
42%
ALLY - Ally Financial Inc
14B
$37.45
43%
LUV - Southwest Airlines Co
28B
$47.40
43%
PCG - PG&E Corp.
24.2B
$12.16
43%
BP - BP plc - ADR
82.3B
$24.38
43%
F - Ford Motor Co.
36.3B
$9.28
43%
LOGI - Logitech International S.A.
17.6B
$102.08
44%
PYPL - PayPal Holdings Inc
278B
$238.09
44%
ARKW - ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Next Generation Internet ETF
18-year-olds do have access to casino games such as poker and blackjack. Minnesota: Tolerant of most forms of gambling including sports betting, horse racing, and tribal gaming. Poker can be played from small stakes ($200 or less). 18-year-olds can access the same casino games as 21-year-olds. Vic's Bingo has over 3,000 cards to take advantage of. You will be able to collect future bonuses as time goes on. These bonuses will not typically be larger than the iniitial deposit bonus. Vic's Bingo begins accepting players at the youngest New York legal gambling ages, so you can play at the age of 18. Visit Vic's Bingo New York’s minimum gambling age varies based on the gambling option chosen. 18-year-olds can participate in pari-mutuel wagering, the lottery, charitable gambling, and play at racinos, and some casinos. However, to play poker or gambling at the Seneca tribe’s casino requires visitors and residents to be at least 21. NY law allows 18 year olds to gamble legally in the state. ... The IDNYC in New York State can allow you to lead a healthy lifestyle, as well as receive discounts. Oneida Indians' Casino Permits 18-Year-Olds to Gamble. Oct. 10, 1993. ... it was heralded as the first legal casino in New York State since the 1870's. If you wish to bet on the lottery or place bets on horses, you’ll need to be 18 or older in New York state. If you wish to play in a New York casino, you’ll need to be 18 or older — unless the venue serves alcohol. If it serves alcohol, you must be 21 or older to enter a New York casino. Online gambling sites require players to be 18. As far as I know all the casinos in New York are 18 to gamble except the 2 Seneca casinos. In most states you have to be either 18 or 21 to gamble for real money.Today there are 22 states where 18-year olds can legally gamble and 35 which only allow 21+. Is Online Casino Gambling Legal In New York? There are no NY-based and licensed online casinos lawfully available in the state as of yet. However, there are multiple licensed offshore online casinos which legally accept New York players 18 and older. No NY state law specifically prohibits this access nor does the federal government illegalize the act.